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MarketsEconomic TimesMay 13, 2026· 1 min read

US Stocks Scale New Heights Despite Inflationary Pressures; Rate Cut Hopes Fade

US stock markets, led by tech and chip stocks, achieved new record highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, even as hotter-than-expected producer inflation data diminished hopes for imminent Fed rate cuts. Investors appear to be prioritizing AI-driven growth narratives over broader macroeconomic concerns about sustained high interest rates.

US equity markets concluded trading with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices reaching new record closing highs. This advance was primarily driven by strong performance in technology stocks, particularly those linked to artificial intelligence and semiconductor manufacturing. The market's upward trajectory occurred even as new economic data indicated persistent inflationary pressures. The latest producer price index (PPI) report revealed a significant surge, surpassing economists' expectations. This 'hotter' inflation reading has largely dampened investor sentiment regarding prospective interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Futures markets now reflect a reduced probability of monetary easing in the near term, with expectations shifting towards a prolonged period of higher interest rates. Despite the hawkish implications of the inflation data, market participants appear to be prioritizing company-specific growth narratives, particularly within the AI sector. This sector's robust earnings potential and demand outlook are seen as outweighing the broader macroeconomic concerns stemming from inflation and tighter monetary policy. Further market sentiment was influenced by ongoing geopolitical developments, including discussions between former President Trump and Chinese President Xi, which introduce an element of uncertainty into global trade and investment outlooks. Concurrently, major investment banks, such as Morgan Stanley, have revised their S&P 500 year-end targets upwards, signaling confidence in continued equity market appreciation, at least for specific segments.

Analyst's Take

While headline indices rose, the divergent reaction between broad market gains and reduced rate-cut expectations suggests underlying sector rotation, where capital is flowing into perceived growth areas (tech/AI) as a hedge against a 'higher-for-longer' interest rate environment. This dynamic could foreshadow increased volatility and a narrowing market leadership if higher borrowing costs eventually impact even high-growth sectors, potentially pressuring valuations in the second half of the year as liquidity tightens.

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Source: Economic Times