EnergyOilPrice.comMay 15, 2026· 1 min read
Goldman Sachs Predicts Significant Uranium Demand Surge from SMR Adoption

Goldman Sachs now includes Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) in its nuclear energy model, forecasting a 17% increase in global uranium demand. This projection highlights the accelerating buildout of nuclear power globally and signals a growing risk of a significant uranium supply deficit.
Goldman Sachs has updated its "Nuclear Nuggets: Global Reactor Tracker," incorporating Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) into its nuclear energy model. This integration suggests a significant uptick in global uranium demand, with the firm projecting a 17% increase.
The report reinforces the accelerating global buildout of nuclear power, identifying it as a clean and reliable energy source. This trend, initially highlighted by Goldman in December 2020, now shows intensified momentum across both large-scale conventional reactors and SMRs. The expanded buildout comes amidst growing concerns of a substantial uranium supply deficit, which could have significant implications for the energy market and uranium spot prices.
The addition of SMRs to Goldman's analytical framework underscores their increasing prominence in future energy infrastructure. SMRs are seen as a critical component in expanding nuclear capacity due to their smaller footprint, modular construction, and potential for more flexible deployment compared to traditional large-scale reactors. While the specific details of North American reactor progress and announcements were referenced, the overarching economic implication is the anticipated tightening of the uranium market as global nuclear expansion continues.
This forecast positions uranium as a commodity facing considerable supply-side pressure, driven by renewed global interest in nuclear energy as a cornerstone of decarbonization efforts. Investors and energy market participants will likely monitor the interplay between accelerating reactor deployments, particularly SMRs, and the capacity of the uranium mining sector to meet the projected surge in demand.
Analyst's Take
While this report focuses on uranium demand, the true second-order effect lies in the potential for SMRs to fundamentally alter utility company capital expenditure strategies, shifting from multi-billion-dollar, decade-long mega-projects to more distributed, scalable investments. This could de-risk nuclear development and accelerate adoption, prompting a re-evaluation of long-term power grid resilience and baseload generation capacity across developed economies, well beyond the initial uranium market impact.