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MarketsFinancial TimesJul 4, 2026· 1 min read

Fukuyama: Identity Politics Threatens Liberal Economic Order

Francis Fukuyama argues that identity politics, rooted in racial or ethnic ancestry rather than shared universal ideas, threatens the foundations of liberal democracy and its economic order. This fragmentation can lead to political instability, misallocation of resources, and hinder economic cooperation and growth.

In a recent commentary, prominent political scientist Francis Fukuyama argued that modern identity politics poses a significant threat to the foundational principles of liberal democracy and, by extension, the global economic order it underpins. Fukuyama posits that a societal understanding of identity rooted in racial or ethnic ancestry, rather than shared universal ideals, erodes the common ground necessary for effective governance and economic cooperation. His core assertion is that the emphasis on fragmented group identities undermines the concept of a universal human dignity and shared citizenship that has historically facilitated the development of market economies and robust institutions. When political discourse and policy become overly focused on the specific grievances and demands of distinct identity groups, it can lead to a 'tyranny of the minority' or a 'war of all against all,' hindering consensus-building critical for fiscal policy, trade agreements, and regulatory frameworks. From an economic perspective, this shift can manifest in several ways. Increased social fragmentation may lead to greater political instability, discouraging foreign direct investment and long-term capital allocation. Furthermore, policies driven by narrow identity concerns rather than broad economic efficiency or social utility can result in misallocations of resources, protectionist measures, and a decline in overall economic productivity. The erosion of a shared civic identity can also complicate the implementation of universal social welfare programs and infrastructure projects, as different groups may perceive themselves as disproportionately benefiting or losing. Fukuyama suggests that a return to an identity fundamentally rooted in a set of universal ideas – principles like rule of law, individual rights, and meritocracy – is crucial for maintaining the social cohesion necessary for a functioning market economy and stable political system. Without this re-emphasis, the long-term prospects for global economic integration and domestic prosperity could be increasingly challenged by internal divisions.

Analyst's Take

While seemingly theoretical, Fukuyama's critique highlights a silent long-term risk for capital markets: persistent societal fragmentation can subtly increase a country's political risk premium, potentially widening sovereign credit spreads over time. Investors may be overlooking how this slow-burn erosion of social cohesion, by complicating future fiscal and regulatory consensus, could suppress long-term GDP growth potential more significantly than short-term economic cycles.

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Source: Financial Times