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EnergyOilPrice.comApr 29, 2026· 1 min read

Pakistan's Oil Import Bill Surges 167% Amid Iran War Fallout

Pakistan's weekly oil import bill has surged by 167% to $800 million, up from $300 million pre-conflict, due to rising global crude prices linked to the war in Iran. This increase will strain Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves and likely exacerbate domestic inflation.

Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif reported a staggering 167% increase in the nation's weekly oil import bill, now reaching $800 million. This significant jump from approximately $300 million per week before the conflict in Iran is directly attributed to the escalating global crude oil prices. The sharp rise in import costs is a direct consequence of the ongoing geopolitical tensions impacting energy markets. Before the onset of the conflict, Brent crude was trading in the low $70s per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was in the mid-$60s. As of Wednesday, Brent crude for June delivery was priced at $114.75 per barrel, with the corresponding WTI contract at $103.33 per barrel. This substantial increase in international crude prices is placing immense pressure on Pakistan's economy, which is heavily reliant on oil imports. The surge in fuel prices is expected to have broad economic implications for Pakistan. Increased import expenditures will strain the country's foreign exchange reserves, potentially exacerbating its current account deficit. Domestically, higher fuel costs are likely to fuel inflation across various sectors, impacting consumer purchasing power and industrial operational expenses. The government may face difficult fiscal policy choices, balancing subsidies to mitigate the impact on citizens against the need to maintain fiscal stability. This situation underscores the vulnerability of oil-importing nations to global energy market volatility and geopolitical disruptions.

Analyst's Take

The immediate impact on Pakistan's current account deficit and inflation is evident, but the sustained high energy prices could accelerate a quiet flight of capital as foreign investors assess the long-term economic instability. Additionally, the need for currency devaluation to cushion import costs will likely intensify, potentially sparking further domestic social unrest and a credit rating downgrade, which the market isn't fully pricing in yet.

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Source: OilPrice.com